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財聯(lián)社3月10日訊(記者 周子意)在最近的一次采訪中,美國總統(tǒng)唐納德·特朗普并未否認(rèn)關(guān)稅政策對美國經(jīng)濟(jì)帶來的不確定影響,而是強(qiáng)調(diào)當(dāng)前經(jīng)濟(jì)正經(jīng)歷一段"過渡期"。
至于美國今年是否會面臨經(jīng)濟(jì)衰退,特朗普并未排除這一可能性。
衰退風(fēng)險
上周,亞特蘭大聯(lián)儲的GDPNow模型大幅下調(diào)了美國第一季度GDP的預(yù)期,從而加劇了市場對經(jīng)濟(jì)衰退的擔(dān)憂。
在采訪中,特朗普對媒體表示:"我討厭預(yù)測這類事件。當(dāng)前經(jīng)濟(jì)正經(jīng)歷一段過渡期,原因是我們正在進(jìn)行一項(xiàng)重大舉措,即將把財富帶回美國,這需要時間。"
特朗普的這一表態(tài)旨在淡化其關(guān)稅政策對經(jīng)濟(jì)的潛在影響,暗示其全面的經(jīng)濟(jì)議程可能會帶來短期的動蕩,但長期來看將推動經(jīng)濟(jì)的復(fù)蘇。
值得一提的是,周日晚些時候,在總統(tǒng)專機(jī)"空軍一號"上,特朗普對記者表示:"誰知道呢?"
市場震蕩加劇
在周日的采訪中,特朗普還提到了近期股市的震蕩。股市在經(jīng)歷了今年強(qiáng)勁的開局后,最近幾周出現(xiàn)了大幅波動。
過去一周,特朗普政府在關(guān)稅政策上的反復(fù)調(diào)整導(dǎo)致市場出現(xiàn)了劇烈震蕩,標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾500指數(shù)上周跌幅達(dá)到3.3%。
On this occasion, when Trump was asked whether the U.S.-Mexico and U.S.-Canada tariffs on certain goods were the cause of the recent decline in U.S. stock prices, he responded, "I want to build a strong nation. You cannot really watch the stock market," deferring to the fact that he was not in a position to watch the stock market, and thus sidestepped the issue of tariffs.
On Tuesday(March 4th), Trump, as expected, imposed a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada. Less than a day later, in a surprising move, he announced that he would pause the tariffs on U.S. imports from Mexico and Canada, first extending the relief to the three major auto manufacturers, which would receive a one-month exemption from tariffs under a commitment he made, and subsequently expanding the relief to all goods that conform to the rules of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Free Trade Agreement.
During an interview, Trump added, "I plan to stop this kind of flexibility in the coming month. I want to help U.S. auto manufacturers, so I gave them a little breathing room in the short term... This is a transition into April, and I will only do this once. After that, I won't have this kind of luxury."
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